The Shortcomings and Improvement of Normal Time Series Prediction Model LSTM in reactor accident Prediction
ID:48 View Protection:ATTENDEE Updated Time:2024-09-05 21:10:42 Hits:294 Oral Presentation

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Abstract
The rapid development of AI technology brings new opportunities for reactor safety. Many scholars have begun to use AI models to predict the parameter changes under reactor accident conditions, especially the long short-term memory network (LSTM). However, some AI models may not perform well due to the change of prediction target. On these bases, this paper newly establishes the gas-liquid two-phase counter-flow limitation (CCFL) prediction model by using LSTM network and Bayesian optimization. This model uses four reactor measurement parameters to determine the surge line CCFL status in different SBLOCA situations. After the network hyperparameter optimization, the model can predict CCFL well with the long-term input dataset. However, this paper also find that the ordinary LSTM model cannot accurately multi-step predict CCFL when there are only a few input points in the initial stage of SBLOCA. Therefore, this paper improves the LSTM model by using the static and rolling mechanisms. The test result shows that the former mechanism can provide faster and more accurate prediction results. Besides, this paper also tests the difference between the normal dataset and the diff dataset. The results prove that the diff dataset is suitable for data where the constant part is larger than the changing part.
Keywords
LSTM,CCFL,Multi-Step prediction
Speaker
Sihai CUI
Xi'an Jiaotong University

Submission Author
Sihai CUI Xi'an Jiaotong University
Haitao CHEN Xi’an Jiaotong University
Xinkun XIAO Xi’an Jiaotong University
Ronghua CHEN Xi’an Jiaotong University
Kui ZHANG Xi’an Jiaotong University
Wenxi TIAN Xi’an Jiaotong University
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Important Date
  • Conference Date

    Sep 23

    2024

    to

    Sep 25

    2024

  • Sep 24 2024

    Contribution Submission Deadline

  • Sep 25 2024

    Registration deadline

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Harbin Engineering University (HEU)
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